How the new coronavirus surges compare to New York City’s peak

By Kennedy Elliott and Nsikan Akpan

July 9, 2020

COVID-19 has been described as a once-in-a-century pandemic, with New York City as the iconic early epicenter for the United States. Now, as coronavirus surges across the country, many places are moving toward a New York-style crisis—and not only in urban areas.

Hotspots are flaring everywhere, from Washington State to Kansas to Florida, with many of these regions matching the concentration of cases witnessed at the peak of New York City’s outbreak.

Worst two weeks

The U.S. just experienced its worst two-week stretch, with more newly confirmed cases than at any point since its coronavirus outbreak began in early 2020. From June 25 to July 8, NULL Americans were diagnosed with coronavirus, and the nation’s tally grew by one million cases over the span of the past month.

That’s one case for every NULL Americans nationwide.

New York City hit its peak of cases in early April. But thanks to stay-at-home orders, huge investments in testing, and the wide adoption of preventative measures such as mask wearing, cases there have dropped precipitously and stayed flat so far. During its worst two-week period, NULL New Yorkers were diagnosed.

That’s the equivalent of one in NULL New Yorkers.

With the recent surge elsewhere in the U.S., many areas are experiencing a greater density of cases than New York City witnessed during its two-week peak. In the past few weeks, NULL counties with at least 50 cases have experienced a rise in cases per capita on par with or worse than New York City's peak. When looking at total cases since the pandemic’s start, NULL counties have case densities worse than one in 100 people.

NULL counties have case density rates worse than one in 100 people. NULL of them have also had their worst two-week period since June 1.

In Thurston, Nebraska, NULL people were diagnosed in the last two weeks. That’s equivalent to one in NULL residents.Stewart, Georgia, has notched NULL cases over the last two weeks—the worst stretch of its outbreak. One in NULL residents were diagnosed during this period.

The worst density of all belongs to Lee, Arkansas, where county data indicates that on average one in NULL residents—a total of NULL people—were diagnosed every day during a two-week surge from June 4 to 17.

One in NULL in Thurston, Nebraska.

One in NULL in Stewart, Georgia.

One in NULL in Lee, Arkansas.

Jacksonville and Miami, Florida; Los Angeles, California; Nashville, Tennessee; Oklahoma City; Atlanta, Georgia, and their surrounding areas have all just had their worst two weeks.

Overall highs

So far during this pandemic, New York City has been one of the worst-hit cities in the U.S. overall. One in NULL people living in New York City have been diagnosed with coronavirus since January 21.

At least one in NULL people who live in New York City have had coronavirus.

However, other major metropolitan areas are approaching this number. In Houston, where cases have been spiking this month, one in NULL people has caught coronavirus. In Detroit, it’s one in NULL. In Boston, it’s one in NULL.

In Houston, Texas, one in NULL has had a confirmed case of coronavirus.

In Detroit, Michigan, it’s one in NULL.

In Boston, Massachusetts, it’s one in NULL.

Case density has also piled up over months in many less populous areas due to cluster outbreaks. One in NULL residents in Passaic, New Jersey, have been diagnosed overall with coronavirus due to outbreaks at nursing homes. One in NULL residents in Cass, Indiana, have been diagnosed with coronavirus due to cases at a meatpacking plant. One in NULL residents in Trousdale, Tennessee, have been diagnosed with coronavirus due to an outbreak at a correctional facility.

In Passaic, New Jersey, one in NULL has had a confirmed case of coronavirus.

In Cass, Indiana, it’s one in NULL.

In Trousdale, Tennessee, it’s one in NULL.

But some surges in cases outside of metropolises cannot be explained by cluster outbreaks. East Carroll, Louisiana: one in NULL. Lowndes, Alabama: one in NULL. Santa Cruz, Arizona: one in NULL.

In East Carroll, Louisiana, one in NULL has had a confirmed case of coronavirus.

In Lowndes, Alabama, it’s one in NULL.

In Santa Cruz, Arizona, it’s one in NULL.

When it comes to deaths per capita, some rural places are also approaching the depth of the toll seen in New York City. One in NULL New Yorkers have died from coronavirus—a total of NULL people to date. Meanwhile, Hancock, Georgia has recorded NULL deaths—but that amounts to one in NULL inhabitants of the town.

Overall, one in NULL people in the U.S. have died from coronavirus (NULL total).

The statistics for Jacksonville, Miami, Los Angeles, Nashville, Oklahoma City, Atlanta, Houston, Detroit, and Boston refer to the cities themselves and their surrounding metropolitan counties.

Sources: The New York Times, Census Bureau. Illustrations: Propublica